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.... Letters & Opinion

28th August 2010
A lurking double dip recession

The last bit of bad news the Western world wishes to hear about at this time, are the prospects of a double dip recession. The West is caught between a rock and a hard place as their bursting deficits demand urgent attention to maintain their financial status and equilibrium in the eyes of the world. Achieving these goals require a determined effort to balance their respective budgets, but to achieve this goal, exports must be vastly improved, imports must be adequately curtailed and belt tightening has to be addressed. Despite two years of hardship by the loss of jobs, the loss of millions of homes, reduced salaries and other draconian measures, economic growth remains insignificant as the cost of doing business remains far higher than China and India and both those countries continue to improve their bottom line at the expense of the West. Western countries have their views as to exactly how their citizens need to be treated, but how much longer can they maintain a false standard of living and what will be the consequences.

 
 

This having been said, Germany as an entity appears to have dealt with the issue as German exports are up, but the German people are more disciplined in their habits by living within their means and not maxing out their credit cards.
Several other Western countries remained on a spending spree, many of whom, manipulated their personal balance sheets by the upward revaluation of their homes to supplement their incomes which was no more than a cosmetic means of accounting. Such practices do come home to roost and not until all these ills are dealt with, will the Western countries see any real growth. Prime Minister Cameron of the United Kingdom has accepted the fact that these practices must cease and although he may go down in history as being insensitive to his people, his choices are limited. A similar message must be communicated to the public sector employees throughout the region who under perform as the finances of the various states will be clearly jeopardized and marginalized.


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