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24th July 2010
FirstCaribbean Daily Markets Wrap Up – Thursday, July 22nd, 2010

Global Markets
•Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke signalled that signs of deeper economic weakness would be needed to justify additional monetary stimulus, even as he said there’s an “unusually uncertain” outlook for growth.
• More Americans than projected filed applications for unemployment benefits last week, a sign firings remain elevated even as the economy is expanding.
• Sales of U.S. previously owned homes fell in June for a second month, adding to evidence the market will slump as the effects of a federal tax credit fade.
• General Motors Co., the automaker 61 percent owned by the U.S., is buying sub prime lender AmeriCredit Corp. for $3.5 billion.

• Europe’s largest banks may give breakdowns of their sovereign-debt holdings when they release stress-test results, according to a document from the Committee of European Banking Supervisors.

• Credit Suisse Group AG, Switzerland’s second-largest bank, reported a drop in profit at its investment banking unit in the second quarter as trading revenue slumped amid Europe’s sovereign debt crisis.
• U.K. retail sales rose more than economists forecast in June as the World Cup tournament stoked purchases at electrical goods shops and department stores.
Figure 1: U.S. Daily Economic Indicators

Source Bloomberg

 
 

Caribbean Markets

Caribbean
• A United Nations report indicates that the Latin America and the Caribbean region is consolidating its recovery from the global economic slowdown, posting higher-than-expected growth in recent months, although some countries in the region face serious pitfalls, according to a new United Nations report.
o The 2009-2010 regional economic survey, conducted by the UN Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) forecasts that the region will expand by 5.2 per cent this year after the recovery began in the second half of last year. Overall unemployment rates are likely to ease from 8.2 per cent to 7.8 per cent
o The report also noted that many Caribbean nations also have high debt burdens which leave them vulnerable to economic problems in the months ahead. The debt owed by Barbados is equivalent to 93 per cent of its GDP last year and for Grenada the figure is 83 per cent.
• A.M. Best Co. has downgraded the financial strength rating to A- (Excellent) from A (Excellent) and issuer credit ratings (ICR) to “a-” from “a” of Sagicor Life Inc. (Barbados) and its operating life insurance subsidiary, Sagicor Capital Life Insurance Company Limited (Bahamas).
o A.M. Best also has affirmed the FSRs of A- (Excellent) and ICRs of “a-” of Sagicor General Insurance Inc. (Barbados) and Sagicor Life Insurance Company (Sagicor Life USA).
o A.M. Best also has downgraded the FSR to B++ (Good) from A (Excellent) and ICR to “bbb” from “a” of Sagicor Life Jamaica Limited (Kingston, Jamaica). The outlook for these ratings has been revised to stable from negative.
o The ratings reflect SFC’s continued significant revenue, asset and earnings exposure to the Jamaican economy, which continues to pose ongoing uncertainty for SFC and its lead operating life insurance subsidiaries. Despite the recently implemented debt exchange program by the Jamaican government to defuse the potential default risk underlying the government bonds, A.M. Best believes that the risk of Jamaican exposure will continue to linger going forward and may stress SFC’s financial results and risk-adjusted capitalization.
Anguilla
• Anguilla’s Wallblake Airport has been awarded international airport designation by the International Civil Aviation Organization, and has been renamed the Clayton J. Lloyd International Airport.
St. Kitts & Nevis
• St. Kitts and Nevis is planning a new 17% sales tax and a 10% hotel levy to boost revenue. Prime Minister Denzil Douglas said that the tourism-dependent islands of 50,000 people will roll out the new tax scheme in November.
Jamaica
• Local press reports that the Government has recommended the privatization of 16 public bodies, the amalgamation of 26, and the abolition of another 10 entities whose services will be contracted out under the proposed public sector rationalization plan
• Dr Gene Leon, the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) senior resident representative in Jamaica commented that Jamaica is positioned to pass the upcoming quarterly IMF test, save for hurricanes and other external shocks.

DISCLAIMER- This document is for informational purposes only. This information is based on the close of the previous business day activity. The information presented is from usually reliable sources. FirstCaribbean has not independently verified the facts, assumptions, and estimates contained in this report. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on the fairness, accuracy, or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report. FirstCaribbean International Bank accepts no liability for any loss occasioned by reliance on any information contained herein which may prove to be incorrect


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