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30th January 2010
FirstCaribbean Daily Markets Report
Wednesday, January 27th, 2010

Global Markets
• The number of mortgage applications in the U.S. dropped last week for the first time in a month, led by a slump in refinancing. The looming end of the government’s first-time homebuyer tax credit in November caused sales to slump at the end of last year.
• The Obama administration’s $300 billion Hope for Homeowners program may be retooled to help the growing number of Americans who owe more than their properties are worth as current anti-foreclosure efforts fail to account for these “underwater” borrowers.
• Confidence among U.S. consumers rose in January to the highest level since September 2008 as the labour market improved and Americans became more upbeat about their immediate future.
• U.S. regulators will require money-market mutual funds to boost holdings of cash and easy-to-sell securities and are weighing further changes the $3.24 trillion industry says might prompt customers to invest elsewhere.
• Traders are buying protection against defaults on sovereign debt at more than five times the rate of company bonds as governments fund ballooning deficits. The net amount of credit-default swaps outstanding on 54 governments from Japan to Italy jumped 14.2 percent since Oct. 9, compared with 2.6 percent for all other contracts.
• Japan’s exports rose for the first time since Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. collapsed 15 months ago, adding to the sign that the world’s second-largest economy is recovering from the global recession.
• Crude oil fluctuated after the U.S. government reported that supplies dropped and gasoline inventories rose to a 22-month high. Oil fell as much as 1.1 percent to $73.90, near a 15-month low.

Caribbean Markets

Barbados
• Prime Minister David Thompson said projections of the key macroeconomic indicators suggested that in 2010 the Barbados economy is likely to register a marginal growth rate of 0.5%.
• The Prime Minister added that the global economic crisis is estimated to have cost Barbados almost 10 percentage points in economic growth over the last 2 years

 
 

Jamaica
• Finance Minister Shaw announced an extension of the deadline for the completion of the US$8 billion domestic debt swap. The government said that it has received “overwhelmingly positive” response to the offer with nearly all institutional investors supporting the transaction. However, local retail brokers have requested an extension in the submission deadline to allow additional time to work with smaller clients.
• According to tourism officials, tourist arrivals to Jamaica are up for the winter season with 220,000 stopover visitors arriving since December 15th 2009 and a 9% improvement seen in January arrivals over the corresponding period last year.
• Moody’s Investors Service has changed the ratings outlook of Air Jamaica Limited (“Air Jamaica”) to stable. The respective Corporate Family and senior unsecured ratings of Air Jamaica are affirmed at Caa1. The change in outlook mirrors the change of the outlook of the foreign currency bond rating of The Government of Jamaica (“Jamaica”) to stable, which occurred on January 22, 2010.

Trinidad
• Trinidad and Tobago Cabinet has approved draft legislation for credit unions that will increase oversight over those institutions, among other reforms. Finance Minister Karen Nunez Tesheira advised that the Credit Union Societies Bill, in draft and also in the form of a policy document, has been reviewed by the Cabinet and will be taken to the legislative review committee.
• The Minister commented that “Based on criteria developed by the Central Bank this policy document now enables credit unions to adhere to international best practice. It also facilitates improvement in corporate governance and higher standards of oversight in the Credit Union Movement,”

St. Maarten
• St. Maarten tourism officials have indicated that they intend to boost marketing in South America. Tourism officials, led by Commissioner of Tourism Frans Richardson, will embark on a key South America trip in the near future.

Figure 2: Tracking key Caribbean financial indicators

DISCLAIMER- This document is for informational purposes only. This information is based on the close of the previous business day activity. The information presented is from usually reliable sources. FirstCaribbean has not independently verified the facts, assumptions, and estimates contained in this report. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on the fairness, accuracy, or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report. FirstCaribbean International Bank accepts no liability for any loss occasioned by reliance on any information contained herein which may prove to be incorrect. For current market bids and offers, please contact: David Whitcroft, Treasury Sales & Trading, FirstCaribbean International Bank, Phone 246-367-2272 (Barbados), and Fax: 246-421-9207 (Barbados); david.whitcroft@FirstCaribbeanBank.com


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